| Product Code: ETC5686569 | Publication Date: Nov 2023 | Updated Date: Nov 2025 | Product Type: Market Research Report | |
| Publisher: 6Wresearch | Author: Ravi Bhandari | No. of Pages: 60 | No. of Figures: 30 | No. of Tables: 5 |
Guatemala`s cigarette import market in 2024 saw significant reliance on key exporting countries such as Mexico, Honduras, South Korea, USA, and Germany. The high Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) indicates a concentrated market structure. With a strong compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.12% from 2020-2024, and a steady growth rate of 4.42% from 2023-2024, the market shows resilience and potential for continued expansion. Stakeholders should monitor these trends closely to capitalize on opportunities and navigate challenges in the dynamic cigarette import landscape.

1 Executive Summary |
2 Introduction |
2.1 Key Highlights of the Report |
2.2 Report Description |
2.3 Market Scope & Segmentation |
2.4 Research Methodology |
2.5 Assumptions |
3 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Overview |
3.1 Guatemala Country Macro Economic Indicators |
3.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, 2021 & 2031F |
3.3 Guatemala Cigarette? Market - Industry Life Cycle |
3.4 Guatemala Cigarette? Market - Porter's Five Forces |
3.5 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
3.6 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
4 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Dynamics |
4.1 Impact Analysis |
4.2 Market Drivers |
4.2.1 Increasing urbanization and changing lifestyles leading to higher smoking rates |
4.2.2 Growing disposable income levels among the population |
4.2.3 Aggressive marketing strategies by cigarette companies to target younger demographics |
4.3 Market Restraints |
4.3.1 Government regulations and anti-smoking campaigns impacting cigarette sales |
4.3.2 Health awareness campaigns leading to a decline in smoking prevalence |
5 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Trends |
6 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Segmentations |
6.1 Guatemala Cigarette? Market, By Type |
6.1.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.1.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Light, 2021-2031F |
6.1.3 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Medium, 2021-2031F |
6.1.4 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021-2031F |
6.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market, By Distribution Channel |
6.2.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.2.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Tobacco Shops, 2021-2031F |
6.2.3 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Supermarket and Hypermarkets, 2021-2031F |
6.2.4 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Convenience Stores, 2021-2031F |
6.2.5 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Online Stores, 2021-2031F |
6.2.6 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021-2031F |
7 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Import-Export Trade Statistics |
7.1 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Export to Major Countries |
7.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Imports from Major Countries |
8 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Key Performance Indicators |
8.1 Excise tax rates on cigarettes |
8.2 Number of smokers in Guatemala |
8.3 Average age of smokers in the country |
9 Guatemala Cigarette? Market - Opportunity Assessment |
9.1 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Opportunity Assessment, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
9.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Opportunity Assessment, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
10 Guatemala Cigarette? Market - Competitive Landscape |
10.1 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Revenue Share, By Companies, 2024 |
10.2 Guatemala Cigarette? Market Competitive Benchmarking, By Operating and Technical Parameters |
11 Company Profiles |
12 Recommendations | 13 Disclaimer |
Export potential enables firms to identify high-growth global markets with greater confidence by combining advanced trade intelligence with a structured quantitative methodology. The framework analyzes emerging demand trends and country-level import patterns while integrating macroeconomic and trade datasets such as GDP and population forecasts, bilateral import–export flows, tariff structures, elasticity differentials between developed and developing economies, geographic distance, and import demand projections. Using weighted trade values from 2020–2024 as the base period to project country-to-country export potential for 2030, these inputs are operationalized through calculated drivers such as gravity model parameters, tariff impact factors, and projected GDP per-capita growth. Through an analysis of hidden potentials, demand hotspots, and market conditions that are most favorable to success, this method enables firms to focus on target countries, maximize returns, and global expansion with data, backed by accuracy.
By factoring in the projected importer demand gap that is currently unmet and could be potential opportunity, it identifies the potential for the Exporter (Country) among 190 countries, against the general trade analysis, which identifies the biggest importer or exporter.
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