Philippines Tobacco Market (2025-2031) | Outlook, Trends, Analysis, Companies, Share, Value, Forecast, Revenue, Industry, Size & Growth

Market Forecast By Product (Smokeless, Cigarettes, Cigar & Cigarillos, Next Generation Products, Waterpipes), By Distribution Channel (Offline, Online) And Competitive Landscape

Product Code: ETC227729 Publication Date: Aug 2022 Updated Date: Apr 2025 Product Type: Market Research Report
Publisher: 6Wresearch No. of Pages: 75 No. of Figures: 35 No. of Tables: 20

Philippines Tobacco Market Size Growth Rate


The Philippines Tobacco Market may undergo a gradual slowdown in growth rates between 2025 and 2029. Starting high at -0.27% in 2025, the market steadily declines to -0.51% by 2029.

Philippines Tobacco Market Growth Rate

Tobacco Market: Philippines vs Top 5 Major Economies in 2027 (Asia)


By 2027, Philippines's Tobacco market is forecasted to achieve a negative growth rate of -0.40%, with China leading the Asia region, followed by India, Japan, Australia and South Korea.

Tobacco Market: Philippines vs Top 5 Major Economies in 2027 (Asia)

Philippines Tobacco Market Highlights

Report Name Philippines Tobacco Market
Forecast period 2025-2031
CAGR 5.5%
Growing Sector Tobacco

Topics Covered in the Philippines Tobacco Market

Philippines Tobacco Market report thoroughly covers the market by product and by distribution channel. The market outlook report provides an unbiased and detailed analysis of the ongoing market trends, opportunities/high growth areas, and market drivers which would help the stakeholders to devise and align their market strategies according to the current and future market dynamics.

Philippines Tobacco Market Synopsis

Philippines Tobacco Market has been flourishing as the industry is a significant contributor to the country’s economy, with several tobacco-growing areas across the country. While the Philippines’ government launched various initiatives to curb tobacco consumption, the tobacco market continues to be a driving force in the country's economy.

According to 6Wresearch, the Philippines Tobacco Market size is expected to grow steadily at a CAGR of 5.5% during the forecast period of 2025-2031.  The growth of the market is proliferated by population growth, urbanization, and an increase in disposable income. Despite tobacco consumption declining globally, there has been a noticeable trend towards the consumption of more premium tobacco products. The shift towards high-quality tobacco products, with the majority of the market favoring high-value and premium tobacco products is one of the key trends shaping the Philippines Tobacco Market Growth. The demand for organic tobacco products and low nicotine products has also been steadily increasing in recent years. Moreover, the government has been making notable attempts to curb the growth of this industry. The Sin Tax Reform Law, which underwent various amendments since its inception, aims to make tax revenues an incentive factor for smoking reduction. The rising prices of tobacco products and the increasing use of alternative tobacco products could unfavorably impact the industry, creating more challenges in the future. However, the demand for premium tobacco products represents one of the most significant market opportunities in the Philippines tobacco industry. As society becomes more health-conscious, there is also an increasing preference for tobacco alternatives such as e-cigarettes and vaping devices. With the growing trend towards low-nicotine and organic tobacco products, manufacturers could capitalize on this niche market by introducing innovative and unique products that align with these preferences.

Government policies and schemes introduced in the Philippines Tobacco Market

The government launched various policies and initiatives to regulate the Philippines Tobacco Industry by taking several initiatives such as Sin Tax Reform Law, Graphic Health Warning Law, and Nationwide Smoking Ban. In general, the Sin Tax Reform Law was recently amended, increasing tobacco excise taxes, which greatly impacts the tobacco companies and consumers buying behavior. Additionally, the Graphic Health Warning Law mandates cigarette packs to include graphic health warnings that cover 60% of the front and back labels of cigarette packs. The Nationwide Smoking Ban law also mandated a total smoking ban in public areas such as malls, restaurants, bars, and school premises, which affects the sales performance of tobacco companies.

Key players in the Philippines Tobacco Market

There are several key players in the Philippines tobacco market, including Philip Morris International and Japan Tobacco, Inc. Philip Morris International holds the largest share of the market, with its Marlboro brand dominating the market. Meanwhile, Japan Tobacco, Inc. has been expanding its market share through partnerships and collaborations, launching innovative products such as Ploom S and Ploom Tech in the market.

Future insights of the Philippines Tobacco Market

The Philippines Tobacco Market has a rich history as it has been a major contributor to the country’s economy for years. However, in recent times, the Philippines has constricted its tobacco regulations in a bid to minimize the harm caused by smoking. The demand for cigarettes has been steadily declining over the past decade as people become more health-conscious, it is expected that this trend will continue in the future years. With the growing awareness about the health risks associated with smoking, many individuals are looking for alternatives. In recent years, electronic cigarettes, or e-cigarettes, have become increasingly popular. The Philippines government has taken several steps to minimize the harm caused by smoking. In 2019, President Rodrigo Duterte signed a law that mandated the use of graphic health warnings and raised the excise tax on cigarettes. These measures are designed to discourage people from smoking and encourage them to switch to safer tobacco alternatives.

Market by Product

According to Shubhamdeep, Senior Research Analyst, 6Wresearch, the next-generation products segment is expected to lead the Philippines Tobacco Market Share in the years to come. These include vapor, e-cigarettes, and heated tobacco products. These products are preferred by the younger generation and are seen as less harmful than traditional ones.

Market by Distribution Channel

Based on Distribution Channel, Offline distribution channels include traditional brick-and-mortar stores and convenience stores while online distribution channels include e-commerce platforms. In general, both offline and online channels are gaining traction, online distribution channels are growing steadily due to the increasing popularity of e-commerce platforms and the convenience they offer.

Key Attractiveness of the Report

  • 10 Years Market Numbers.
  • Historical Data Starting from 2021 to 2024.
  • Base Year: 2024.
  • Forecast Data until 2031.
  • Key Performance Indicators Impacting the Market.
  • Major Upcoming Developments and Projects.

Key Highlights of the Report:

  • Philippines Tobacco Market Outlook
  • Market Size of Philippines Tobacco Market, 2024
  • Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market, 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Revenues & Volume for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Philippines Tobacco Market Trend Evolution
  • Philippines Tobacco Market Drivers and Challenges
  • Philippines Tobacco Price Trends
  • Philippines Tobacco Porter's Five Forces
  • Philippines Tobacco Industry Life Cycle
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Product for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Smokeless for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Cigarettes for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Cigar & Cigarillos for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Next Generation Products for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Waterpipes for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Distribution Channel for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Offline for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Historical Data and Forecast of Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume By Online for the Period 2021- 2031
  • Philippines Tobacco Import Export Trade Statistics
  • Market Opportunity Assessment By Product
  • Market Opportunity Assessment By Distribution Channel
  • Philippines Tobacco Top Companies Market Share
  • Philippines Tobacco Competitive Benchmarking By Technical and Operational Parameters
  • Philippines Tobacco Company Profiles
  • Philippines Tobacco Key Strategic Recommendations

Market Covered

The report offers a comprehensive study of the subsequent market segments:

By Product

  • Smokeless
  • Cigarettes
  • Cigar & Cigarillos
  • Next Generation Products
  • Waterpipes

By Distribution Channel

  • Offline
  • Online

Philippines Tobacco Market (2025-2031): FAQs

The Philippines Tobacco Market is dominated by Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco, and Japan Tobacco International.
The government passed the Sin Tax Law, increasing taxes on cigarettes and other tobacco products. The new tax laws mandate tobacco companies to pay a higher excise tax of PHP 60 per pack.
The future of the Philippines Tobacco Market looks promising. Despite the increase in taxes, the sales of cigarettes have not reduced significantly.
One of the significant challenges faced by the market is the increasing awareness and concern about the health risks associated with tobacco use.
6W monitors the market across 60+ countries Globally, publishing an annual market outlook report that analyses trends, key drivers, Size, Volume, Revenue, opportunities, and market segments. This report offers comprehensive insights, helping businesses understand market dynamics and make informed decisions.
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1 Executive Summary
2 Introduction
2.1 Key Highlights of the Report
2.2 Report Description
2.3 Market Scope & Segmentation
2.4 Research Methodology
2.5 Assumptions
3 Philippines Tobacco Market Overview
3.1 Philippines Country Macro Economic Indicators
3.2 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, 2021 & 2031F
3.3 Philippines Tobacco Market - Industry Life Cycle
3.4 Philippines Tobacco Market - Porter's Five Forces
3.5 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Product , 2021 & 2031F
3.6 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F
4 Philippines Tobacco Market Dynamics
4.1 Impact Analysis
4.2 Market Drivers
4.3 Market Restraints
5 Philippines Tobacco Market Trends
6 Philippines Tobacco Market, By Types
6.1 Philippines Tobacco Market, By Product
6.1.1 Overview and Analysis
6.1.2 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Product , 2021 - 2031F
6.1.3 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Smokeless, 2021 - 2031F
6.1.4 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Cigarettes, 2021 - 2031F
6.1.5 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Cigar & Cigarillos, 2021 - 2031F
6.1.6 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Next Generation Products, 2021 - 2031F
6.1.7 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Waterpipes, 2021 - 2031F
6.2 Philippines Tobacco Market, By Distribution Channel
6.2.1 Overview and Analysis
6.2.2 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Offline, 2021 - 2031F
6.2.3 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenues & Volume, By Online, 2021 - 2031F
7 Philippines Tobacco Market Import-Export Trade Statistics
7.1 Philippines Tobacco Market Export to Major Countries
7.2 Philippines Tobacco Market Imports from Major Countries
8 Philippines Tobacco Market Key Performance Indicators
9 Philippines Tobacco Market - Opportunity Assessment
9.1 Philippines Tobacco Market Opportunity Assessment, By Product , 2021 & 2031F
9.2 Philippines Tobacco Market Opportunity Assessment, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F
10 Philippines Tobacco Market - Competitive Landscape
10.1 Philippines Tobacco Market Revenue Share, By Companies, 2024
10.2 Philippines Tobacco Market Competitive Benchmarking, By Operating and Technical Parameters
11 Company Profiles
12 Recommendations
13 Disclaimer
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