| Product Code: ETC10112029 | Publication Date: Sep 2024 | Updated Date: Nov 2025 | Product Type: Market Research Report | |
| Publisher: 6Wresearch | Author: Vasudha | No. of Pages: 75 | No. of Figures: 35 | No. of Tables: 20 |
In 2024, Zambia continued to see significant import shipments of bakery products, with top exporting countries including South Africa, India, Germany, Denmark, and France. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) remained at a high concentration level, indicating a competitive market. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2020 to 2024 stood at a healthy 5.21%, although there was a slight decline in growth rate from 2023 to 2024 at -0.36%. This data suggests a stable and growing market for bakery imports in Zambia, with key players from various countries contributing to its expansion.

1 Executive Summary |
2 Introduction |
2.1 Key Highlights of the Report |
2.2 Report Description |
2.3 Market Scope & Segmentation |
2.4 Research Methodology |
2.5 Assumptions |
3 Zambia Bakery Market Overview |
3.1 Zambia Country Macro Economic Indicators |
3.2 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, 2021 & 2031F |
3.3 Zambia Bakery Market - Industry Life Cycle |
3.4 Zambia Bakery Market - Porter's Five Forces |
3.5 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Product Type, 2021 & 2031F |
3.6 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
4 Zambia Bakery Market Dynamics |
4.1 Impact Analysis |
4.2 Market Drivers |
4.2.1 Increasing urbanization and changing lifestyles leading to higher demand for convenient and ready-to-eat bakery products. |
4.2.2 Growing middle-class population with rising disposable incomes driving consumption of premium bakery items. |
4.2.3 Rising awareness about health and wellness leading to increased demand for healthier bakery options. |
4.3 Market Restraints |
4.3.1 Fluctuating prices of raw materials such as wheat, sugar, and dairy impacting production costs. |
4.3.2 Intense competition from local bakeries as well as international bakery chains affecting market share. |
4.3.3 Challenges in maintaining product quality and freshness due to transportation and storage issues. |
5 Zambia Bakery Market Trends |
6 Zambia Bakery Market, By Types |
6.1 Zambia Bakery Market, By Product Type |
6.1.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.1.2 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Product Type, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.3 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Cakes and Pastries, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.4 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Biscuits, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.5 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Bread, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.6 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Morning Goods, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.7 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Other Product Types, 2021- 2031F |
6.2 Zambia Bakery Market, By Distribution Channel |
6.2.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.2.2 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Hypermarkets/Supermarkets, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.3 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Convenience Stores, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.4 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Specialty Stores, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.5 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Online Retail Stores, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.6 Zambia Bakery Market Revenues & Volume, By Other Distribution Channels, 2021- 2031F |
7 Zambia Bakery Market Import-Export Trade Statistics |
7.1 Zambia Bakery Market Export to Major Countries |
7.2 Zambia Bakery Market Imports from Major Countries |
8 Zambia Bakery Market Key Performance Indicators |
8.1 Average revenue per customer to track the spending patterns and preferences of consumers. |
8.2 Percentage of repeat customers to measure customer loyalty and satisfaction. |
8.3 Number of new product launches to assess innovation and response to market trends. |
9 Zambia Bakery Market - Opportunity Assessment |
9.1 Zambia Bakery Market Opportunity Assessment, By Product Type, 2021 & 2031F |
9.2 Zambia Bakery Market Opportunity Assessment, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
10 Zambia Bakery Market - Competitive Landscape |
10.1 Zambia Bakery Market Revenue Share, By Companies, 2024 |
10.2 Zambia Bakery Market Competitive Benchmarking, By Operating and Technical Parameters |
11 Company Profiles |
12 Recommendations |
13 Disclaimer |
Export potential enables firms to identify high-growth global markets with greater confidence by combining advanced trade intelligence with a structured quantitative methodology. The framework analyzes emerging demand trends and country-level import patterns while integrating macroeconomic and trade datasets such as GDP and population forecasts, bilateral import–export flows, tariff structures, elasticity differentials between developed and developing economies, geographic distance, and import demand projections. Using weighted trade values from 2020–2024 as the base period to project country-to-country export potential for 2030, these inputs are operationalized through calculated drivers such as gravity model parameters, tariff impact factors, and projected GDP per-capita growth. Through an analysis of hidden potentials, demand hotspots, and market conditions that are most favorable to success, this method enables firms to focus on target countries, maximize returns, and global expansion with data, backed by accuracy.
By factoring in the projected importer demand gap that is currently unmet and could be potential opportunity, it identifies the potential for the Exporter (Country) among 190 countries, against the general trade analysis, which identifies the biggest importer or exporter.
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