| Product Code: ETC5342867 | Publication Date: Nov 2023 | Updated Date: Dec 2025 | Product Type: Market Research Report | |
| Publisher: 6Wresearch | Author: Ravi Bhandari | No. of Pages: 60 | No. of Figures: 30 | No. of Tables: 5 |
Zambia`s grain import market continued to show strong growth in 2024, with top exporting countries including Tanzania, South Africa, India, Burundi, and Thailand. The high Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) indicates a concentrated market, potentially impacting competition and pricing. The impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.0% from 2020 to 2024 highlights the increasing demand for grains in Zambia. Furthermore, the outstanding growth rate of 463.15% from 2023 to 2024 suggests a rapid acceleration in import volumes. Stakeholders should closely monitor market dynamics and emerging trends to capitalize on opportunities in Zambia`s grain import sector.

1 Executive Summary |
2 Introduction |
2.1 Key Highlights of the Report |
2.2 Report Description |
2.3 Market Scope & Segmentation |
2.4 Research Methodology |
2.5 Assumptions |
3 Zambia Grain Market Overview |
3.1 Zambia Country Macro Economic Indicators |
3.2 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, 2021 & 2031F |
3.3 Zambia Grain Market - Industry Life Cycle |
3.4 Zambia Grain Market - Porter's Five Forces |
3.5 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
3.6 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
4 Zambia Grain Market Dynamics |
4.1 Impact Analysis |
4.2 Market Drivers |
4.2.1 Increasing population leading to higher demand for food grains |
4.2.2 Government initiatives to promote agriculture and increase grain production |
4.2.3 Growing urbanization and changing dietary preferences towards grain-based foods |
4.3 Market Restraints |
4.3.1 Unpredictable weather conditions affecting crop yields |
4.3.2 Lack of modern agricultural practices and technologies hindering productivity |
4.3.3 Fluctuating prices of grains in the global market impacting local market stability |
5 Zambia Grain Market Trends |
6 Zambia Grain Market Segmentations |
6.1 Zambia Grain Market, By Type |
6.1.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.1.2 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Dry Pea And Bean Farming, 2021-2031F |
6.1.3 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Wheat Farming, 2021-2031F |
6.1.4 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Corn Farming, 2021-2031F |
6.1.5 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Rice Farming, 2021-2031F |
6.1.6 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Other Grain Farming, 2021-2031F |
6.2 Zambia Grain Market, By Distribution Channel |
6.2.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.2.2 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Convenience Stores, 2021-2031F |
6.2.3 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Modern Trade, 2021-2031F |
6.2.4 Zambia Grain Market Revenues & Volume, By Online Retail, 2021-2031F |
7 Zambia Grain Market Import-Export Trade Statistics |
7.1 Zambia Grain Market Export to Major Countries |
7.2 Zambia Grain Market Imports from Major Countries |
8 Zambia Grain Market Key Performance Indicators |
8.1 Percentage of arable land under cultivation |
8.2 Adoption rate of modern agricultural technologies |
8.3 Government spending on agricultural development |
8.4 Number of grain processing facilities established |
8.5 Percentage change in grain imports/exports ratio |
9 Zambia Grain Market - Opportunity Assessment |
9.1 Zambia Grain Market Opportunity Assessment, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
9.2 Zambia Grain Market Opportunity Assessment, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
10 Zambia Grain Market - Competitive Landscape |
10.1 Zambia Grain Market Revenue Share, By Companies, 2024 |
10.2 Zambia Grain Market Competitive Benchmarking, By Operating and Technical Parameters |
11 Company Profiles |
12 Recommendations | 13 Disclaimer |
Export potential enables firms to identify high-growth global markets with greater confidence by combining advanced trade intelligence with a structured quantitative methodology. The framework analyzes emerging demand trends and country-level import patterns while integrating macroeconomic and trade datasets such as GDP and population forecasts, bilateral import–export flows, tariff structures, elasticity differentials between developed and developing economies, geographic distance, and import demand projections. Using weighted trade values from 2020–2024 as the base period to project country-to-country export potential for 2030, these inputs are operationalized through calculated drivers such as gravity model parameters, tariff impact factors, and projected GDP per-capita growth. Through an analysis of hidden potentials, demand hotspots, and market conditions that are most favorable to success, this method enables firms to focus on target countries, maximize returns, and global expansion with data, backed by accuracy.
By factoring in the projected importer demand gap that is currently unmet and could be potential opportunity, it identifies the potential for the Exporter (Country) among 190 countries, against the general trade analysis, which identifies the biggest importer or exporter.
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